Nevertheless, to date, India, like China, has maintained a “No First Use” doctrine.
#PAKISTAN REAL WAR TRIAL#
Since 1974, when India stunned the world with its unexpected atomic trial of the “Smiling Buddha” weapon, South Asia has been viewed as a global nuclear problem. Modi has the choice of escalating the conflict by deploying more jets into Pakistani territory, which could lead to a flurry of “tit-for-tat” retaliations. With the weapons you have and the weapons we have, can we afford miscalculation? Shouldn’t we think that if this escalates, what will it lead to? Meanwhile, in a national televised speech, Pakistan’s prime minister, Imran Khan, stated that any further escalation between the nations would be beyond the leaders’ control, warning: It was not long before both sides were exchanging artillery fire across the line of control and the conflict quickly escalated. Indian prime minister Narendra Modi, currently caught up in election fever, warned of a “crushing response”, and launched air strikes on targets in the Pakistan-controlled Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. Kashmir: India and Pakistan's escalating conflict will benefit Narendra Modi ahead of elections In that attack, more than 40 people were killed, mostly Indian military personnel – and Jaish-e-Mohammed, an Islamist terrorist group situated in Pakistan, claimed responsibility for the attack.
It was triggered by a Kashmiri militant suicide bombing of an Indian paramilitary convoy in mid February. The most recent escalation is just another example of the ongoing tensions between these nuclear neighbours. So what are the chances of India and Pakistan ( which both have between 130 and 150 warheads) engaging in a nuclear war? And, as conventional conflicts can quickly escalate, the possibility of a nuclear exchange remains a real, if remote, possibility. ShutterstockĪnd while the presence of nuclear weapons may forestall a nuclear exchange, they don’t discourage nuclear states from using conventional military power against one another. Street level flashpoints can quickly escalate in Kashmir. Both sides have dug in along the disputed border and military skirmishes are commonplace. In 1999, the Kargil crisis, when the two countries again came to blows, may have been the closest the world has come to nuclear war since the end of World War II.ĭiplomatic interventions have previously helped to defuse the military tensions, but an enduring peace has remained elusive. A two-year war erupted between India and Pakistan in 1947 and another broke out in 1965. But the local ruler, Hari Singh, decided against giving the population a choice, leaving the region in a geopolitical limbo and with a disputed border.
#PAKISTAN REAL WAR FREE#
Under the partition plan provided by the Indian Independence Act of 1947, Kashmir with its Muslim majority was free to accede to either India or Pakistan. The Himalayan region is one of the most militarised regions on Earth – former US president Bill Clinton has called Kashmir “ the most dangerous place in the world”. India and Pakistan share a long and complicated history, and they have been in conflict over the disputed territory of Kashmir since 1947. Indeed, arms control investigators have long identified the subcontinent as one of the world’s likeliest nuclear flashpoints. The reason is straightforward: India and Pakistan are in a long-running and incendiary dispute, they are both nuclear powers, and crossing a confrontational threshold could ignite a nuclear war between them.
And recent events in Kashmir have made the situation even more dangerous. Of the numerous areas of global tension, arguably the most perilous is that between India and Pakistan.
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